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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| machbut | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (16–6, n=22) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 59% (125 of 212 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 60% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 94% of 18) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | machbut | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $358 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | Under $3 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $458 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $464 |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $1.0K | UMass $285 |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $762 | UMass $150 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.4K | Over $116 |
| Spread: Ball State (-4.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | Ball State $22 | Ball State $445 |