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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lukelunaleona | rated | texaskid | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (230–273, n=503) | 53% (383–345, n=728) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$1.8M | $1.4M | $9.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #668 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 44% (14 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (24 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=17 | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 40¢, ROI +60% | 98% of 5126 at avg 92¢, ROI −32% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 5% (won 74% of 271) | 1% (won 0% of 3) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 65% of 63) | 26% (won 68% of 148) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 2% (won 90% of 100) | 69% (won 78% of 392) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 92% (won 100% of 4692) | 4% (won 87% of 23) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lukelunaleona | rated | texaskid | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1 | — | No $16K |