PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lovedudleyYYYYY999RN10x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)92% (298–25, n=323)
Consensus PnL—$167K$13.4M$4.8K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #725PM monthly #29 + pinnedHand-pickedPM monthly #491
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)56% (15 of 27 open)58% (85 of 147 open)36% (4 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4327 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%93% of 80 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 598)10% (won 51% of 2050)8% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1870)22% (won 93% of 4398)16% (won 92% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1259)37% (won 99% of 7331)74% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 600)31% (won 100% of 6057)3% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketlovedudleyYYYYY999RN10x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $64KPacers $6—
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Nets $8.3KPacers $272—
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $7.5KJazz $227—
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.6KUnder $48
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $105Under $38
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
——Giants $28Texans $92
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bengals $515Bengals $45
Spread: Jets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jets
——Jets $1Jets $46