Back to Markets
Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Under, while the market favors Over (53%). 1 of 2 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Under (50%) · Under at 47¢ · $12K held · ends Oct 25
SIGNAL
🔄
Contrarian
Under
Consensus Traders
2
Under 50%
Total Value
$12.3K
Combined PnL
-$237.28
Smart Money Signal
Under
1 of 2 top traders (50%)Underdog side (market favors Over 53%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over53%
Under47%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$6.8K
Total Shares14,531
Combined PnL-$145.3
Over1 trader
Total Value$5.4K
Total Shares10,238
Combined PnL-$91.99
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NooseracCTR | Underavg 48¢ | $7.0K | $6.8K | -$145.3 | 52% 5182-4766 (9948) |
0X 0xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-1781431873018 | Overavg 53.9¢ | $5.5K | $5.4K | -$91.99 | 47% 71-80 (151) |
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance49.2%
47.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$103.05
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
203.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x4630e844...787a3a
Slug
nfl-mia-nyj-2026-10-25-total-38pt5