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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| liriks | 0xheavy888 | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be | cqs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 57% (3608–2722, n=6330) | 92% (298–25, n=323) | 67% (151–73, n=224) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $442K | $4.8K | $309K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #998 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (61 of 95 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=1542 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0% | 92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36% | 70% of 341 at avg 64¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 8% of 520) | 8% (won 67% of 6) | 20% (won 9% of 69) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 28% (won 43% of 1451) | 16% (won 92% of 13) | 11% (won 47% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 38% (won 61% of 2005) | 73% (won 95% of 58) | 13% (won 69% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 83% of 1276) | 3% (won 100% of 2) | 56% (won 96% of 191) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | liriks | 0xheavy888 | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be | cqs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $27K | — | Yes $22K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $13K | — | Yes $650 |
| Browns vs. Titans same side · consensus Browns | — | Titans $765 | Titans $115 | — |
| Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $562 | Under $23 | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $105 | Under $48 | — |
| Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $54 | Under $24 | — |