PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
liriks0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beYYYYY999RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (298–25, n=323)49% (2585–2638, n=5223)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$4.8K$167K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #491PM monthly #29 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)62% (16 of 26 open)61% (94 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Tennis −1 pts, n=386—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 67% of 6)14% (won 22% of 597)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 92% of 13)43% (won 45% of 1867)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 95% of 58)29% (won 59% of 1253)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—3% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 79% of 598)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketliriks0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beYYYYY999RN1
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Nets $64KPacers $6
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Nets $8.1KPacers $272
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $7.5KJazz $227
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48—Over $2.6K
Bengals vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Bengals $79—Ravens $2.1K
Browns vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Titans $115—Browns $1.7K
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $38—Over $105
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bengals $45—Ravens $5
Spread: Jets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Jets $46—Jets $1