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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)47% (728–821, n=1549)49% (21–22, n=43)62% (16–10, n=26)90% (19–2, n=21)
Consensus PnL$718K$15K$663K$531K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #935was PM monthly #70PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus60% (52 of 87 open)0% (0 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)7% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 161)34% (won 100% of 10)50% (won 100% of 8)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 243)28% (won 100% of 8)38% (won 100% of 6)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 42)31% (won 100% of 9)6% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlVirIntrepidus
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $52K——Seahawks $46K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $77KCowboys $204