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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighpaperclip-maxxerrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)46% (385–445, n=830)100% (3–0, n=3)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$502K$90K$440K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #363PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (46 of 71 open)43% (3 of 7 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 4 at avg 70¢, ROI +39%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 17)0%3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 105)25% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 137)25% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 21)50% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpaperclip-maxxerrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $642Yes $14