Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmUpTheBlueswhosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)58% (1113–790, n=1903)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.6M$3.2M-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #53PM monthly #8was PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)69% (31 of 45 open)43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 418)20% (won 100% of 7974)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 504)22% (won 100% of 8588)28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.