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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRene22RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)no settled market47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$3.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #48was PM monthly #672PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (16 of 25 open)no open consensus position60% (143 of 238 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRene22RN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $2.4K—Central Michigan $12K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $8.7K—Central Michigan $851
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.4K—UMass $1.1K
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $1.6K—Ball State $191
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $534
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $793—UMass $804
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589—Sacramento State $794
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $228
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $480—UMass $457
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $437—Sacramento State $75
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $191—Over $54
Spread: UMass (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—UMass $18—Ball State $190
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $30—Central Michigan $47
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $3.0K—Ball State $636
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $40—UMass $2.4K
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $4—Toledo $471