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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)95% (13678–685, n=14363)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #50PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #956
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)60% (24 of 40 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRN1WagerWizard
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $496Over $12
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $495Yes $5
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $61Yes $70
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $40Over $40