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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (15059–15076, n=30135) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 70% (166–71, n=237) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $3.0M | $3.5M | -$96K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #50 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (103 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (135 of 238 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 9% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 17% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 61% (won 99% of 77) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.1K | — | No $111 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.1K | — | No $119 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.6K | — | Yes $533 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5 | — | Yes $210 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $10 | — | Yes $141 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5 | — | Yes $105 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9 | — | Yes $67 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5 | — | Yes $64 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5 | — | Yes $58 |