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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | nehcnehc | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 61% (4010–2608, n=6618) | 50% (1053–1054, n=2107) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.2M | -$851K | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #630 | PM monthly #61 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 1% (won 20% of 92) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 25% (won 44% of 2260) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 40% (won 55% of 3534) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 34% (won 87% of 3004) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | nehcnehc | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $820K | Yes $65K | — |