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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)60% (6575–4447, n=11022)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #542
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (21 of 37 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2346 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)6% (won 90% of 152)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 96% of 477)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)34% (won 98% of 806)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)39% (won 100% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.2KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.6KOver $6