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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Kaczka | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (427–397, n=824) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $15K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (106 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 72% of 121) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 88% of 340) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Kaczka | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $44 | — | No $146 |