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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (366–315, n=681) | 91% (161–15, n=176) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $405K | $947 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 70% (128 of 184 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $179K | Bulls $21K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Rockets $11K | Jazz $16K | — |