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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 91% (163–17, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $567K | $423K | $398K | $897 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 70% (121 of 174 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $50K | Jazz $25K | — |