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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gm-gg-gn | rated | BreakTheBank | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 46% (230–274, n=504) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 53% (383–345, n=728) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | -$1.8M | $12.1M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #937 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 47% (15 of 32 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=17 | — | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 6 at avg 33¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 5125 at avg 92¢, ROI −32% | 97% of 497 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 76% of 597 at avg 53¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 75% of 4) | 5% (won 74% of 270) | 11% (won 85% of 53) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 1% (won 65% of 63) | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 26% (won 69% of 155) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 0% of 2) | 2% (won 90% of 100) | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 70% (won 79% of 416) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 92% (won 100% of 4692) | 21% (won 100% of 105) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.