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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
frgdrgdrgdg3434primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)80% (4–1, n=5)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (12 of 20 open)61% (128 of 211 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢75% (won 100% of 3)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfrgdrgdrgdg3434primmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $2.4KCentral Michigan $11K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $802
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $2.6KEastern Michigan $1.0K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.4KUMass $1.1K
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $1.6KBall State $191
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $797
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $793UMass $481
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $201Over $671
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $462Over $265
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $437Sacramento State $72
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $4.3KToledo $505
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $3.0KBall State $636
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $40UMass $2.4K
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $4Toledo $525