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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fkAL | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (1247–306, n=1553) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 63% (379–225, n=604) | 48% (11763–12551, n=24314) |
| Consensus PnL | $626K | $12.1M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #991 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #88 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (28 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (33 of 52 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1683 at avg 73¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 72% of 79) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 56% of 2463) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 83% of 265) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 55% (won 99% of 209) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 88% of 426) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 34% (won 100% of 128) | 36% (won 99% of 8660) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 98% of 913) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fkAL | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Celtics $9 | — | Nets $440 |