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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1Udonsan
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)82% (635–144, n=779)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.6M$14.9M$94K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #39PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #992
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position59% (19 of 32 open)96% (51 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Weather −2 pts, n=100
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%87% of 375 at avg 84¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)5% (won 18% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)3% (won 10% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)6% (won 50% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)87% (won 95% of 326)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1Udonsan
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
opposite sides · consensus Renta Tokuda
Keisuke Saitoh $31K—Renta Tokuda $7.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $71K—Coco Gauff $56K—
Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Blake Ellis
same side · consensus Bernard Tomic
Bernard Tomic $2.4K—Bernard Tomic $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—