Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)60% (7281–4813, n=12094)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$3.7M$57K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #39PM monthly #512
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)71% (67 of 94 open)no open consensus position73% (36 of 49 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%98% of 2634 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)6% (won 89% of 166)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)20% (won 96% of 525)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)34% (won 98% of 899)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)40% (won 100% of 1044)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $7
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $228—Yes $134
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $146——No $7