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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1Vanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)64% (1101–632, n=1733)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)53% (348–313, n=661)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M-$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #601
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)73% (76 of 104 open)60% (18 of 30 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—NBA −2 pts, n=128
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%54% of 590 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)10% (won 24% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)47% (won 51% of 276)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)33% (won 59% of 192)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)11% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1Vanchalkenstein
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
Alafia Ayeni $234—Edward Winter $8.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $37K—Janice Tjen $58K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
Liam Broady $2.6K—Liam Broady $619—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—