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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1PT-S7RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)63% (1101–635, n=1736)50% (522–512, n=1034)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$4.6M-$79K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #752PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position57% (16 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 215 at avg 76¢, ROI +20%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)1% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)5% (won 100% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)19% (won 100% of 41)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)75% (won 100% of 161)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1PT-S7RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
same side · consensus Oskari Paldanius
Oskari Paldanius $13K——Oskari Paldanius $37K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Hersonissos 3: Jack Loge vs Odysseas Geladaris
same side · consensus Jack Loge
Odysseas Geladaris $67——Odysseas Geladaris $18