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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)70% (260–109, n=369)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$3.2M$3.7M$71K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #40PM monthly #217
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (33 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Crypto ±0 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%77% of 358 at avg 74¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 22% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)10% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)8% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)70% (won 91% of 250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.