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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)43% (10–13, n=23)64% (1101–632, n=1733)57% (10818–8158, n=18976)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.2M$4.6M$19K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #109was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)no open consensus position73% (76 of 104 open)69% (41 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1Pan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22——No $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $52
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $1.1K——USC Trojans $193
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $55
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $148——No $243
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
same side · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12——Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $17