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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)58% (156–114, n=270)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.2M$14.9M$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #910
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1SilentShark
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $14K—Yannick Hanfmann $885—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $10
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $12Yes $8
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15K—Cameron Norrie $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KOver $72
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $315Yes $75