Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)79% (1403–380, n=1783)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$1.0M$3.3M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #152PM monthly #8PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus60% (60 of 100 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +22 pts n=1282, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=512, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%92% of 1798 at avg 73¢, ROI +7%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 73% of 83)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)17% (won 84% of 298)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)25% (won 88% of 448)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)54% (won 98% of 969)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.