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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026GetsOnBasendb1primm
Record (consensus markets)36% (3721–6722, n=10443)no settled market63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$3.2M—$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #89PM monthly #685PM monthly #97PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus65% (26 of 40 open)no open consensus position72% (59 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026GetsOnBasendb1primm
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $33K—Under $6.4K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $18K—Hull City AFC $2.9K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $31K—