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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmverifly
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)34% (144–283, n=427)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M$3.7M-$380K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #40was PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)70% (94 of 134 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Esports −2 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)32% (won 21% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)55% (won 41% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmverifly
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $8.8KAdrian Andreev $1.4K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591——