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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11777–15355, n=27132) | 55% (13382–10751, n=24133) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 73% (194–71, n=265) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $4.6M | -$19K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #903 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 66% (79 of 120 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 77% (17 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 72% of 259 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 20% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 5% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 70% (won 97% of 181) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $141 | Yes $2.8K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — | — |