Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorplocuspmndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)16% (647–3329, n=3976)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.1M$55K$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #10was PM monthly #864PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus47% (7 of 15 open)67% (102 of 152 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (108 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NHL +3 pts n=15, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=25, ROI −22%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL ±0 pts, n=76NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%11% of 1140 at avg 12¢, ROI 0%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)89% (won 1% of 1012)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)0% (won 40% of 5)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)1% (won 67% of 9)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)10% (won 98% of 114)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorplocuspmndb1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Claire Liu $1.9KAlexandra Eala $6.3K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $777Under $1.5K——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2K—No $18K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——