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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677laidaodao
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)45% (10–12, n=22)67% (30–15, n=45)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.5M$5.3M$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #735PM monthly #21PM monthly #2PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensus62% (23 of 37 open)72% (218 of 301 open)no open consensus position100% (8 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%73% of 37 at avg 71¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)70% (won 92% of 26)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677laidaodao
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33KOlympique de Marseille $6.5K——
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $7.0KDaniel Milavsky $173——
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7KUnder $66——
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FK Kauno Žalgiris $208FC Lugano $1.5K——
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $578Páfos FC $118——
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $39KSport Lisboa e Benfica $19K——
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $14KBianca Andreescu $3.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $13K——
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $925Under $11K——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240Under $12K——
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $5.5K——
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $2.4KFederico Coria $17——
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Carole Monnet $606Carole Monnet $1.1K——
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137GNK Dinamo Zagreb $824——
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus maybe
maybe $160maybe $64——