Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Vanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)53% (348–313, n=661)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M-$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #609
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)63% (144 of 229 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—NBA −1 pts, n=134
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%53% of 658 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 24% of 63)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)48% (won 49% of 315)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 60% of 216)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)10% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Vanchalkenstein
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——