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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Udonsan
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)82% (643–143, n=786)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M$94K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7was PM monthly #992
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)64% (100 of 157 open)no open consensus position94% (50 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Weather −2 pts, n=272
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%86% of 548 at avg 85¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 16% of 31)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)5% (won 42% of 26)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)88% (won 95% of 480)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Udonsan
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——