Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHBAFlover98joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)40% (245–375, n=620)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M-$250K$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #838PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)65% (106 of 164 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12Esports −12 pts, n=110—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%39% of 611 at avg 40¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)29% (won 15% of 176)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)41% (won 40% of 253)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)22% (won 54% of 134)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)8% (won 75% of 48)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHBAFlover98joseph00677
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——