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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
feeder-of-marketsFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (426–151, n=577)62% (13–8, n=21)68% (304–140, n=444)
Consensus PnL—$47K-$16K-$55K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #20PM monthly #73PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (52 of 77 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfeeder-of-marketsFlaznorpprimmRN1
Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Lorenzo Carboni $3.5K—Lorenzo Carboni $14K
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685