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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fbet | UpTheBlues | PatienceCapital | RockyZet | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (13315–14249, n=27564) | 47% (40–46, n=86) | 64% (179–99, n=278) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.4M | $475K | $100K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #834 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #269 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 65% (11 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (8 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections ±0 pts, n=101 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 27853 at avg 65¢, ROI +38% | 84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45% | 65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 7% (won 99% of 1952) | 14% (won 33% of 6) | 30% (won 10% of 106) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 100% of 6322) | 39% (won 88% of 17) | 6% (won 32% of 22) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 25% (won 100% of 6857) | 48% (won 95% of 21) | 6% (won 57% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 46% (won 100% of 12722) | 0% | 57% (won 98% of 203) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fbet | UpTheBlues | PatienceCapital | RockyZet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $7.4K | — | — | No $4.1K |