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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788haveanedge.xyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)58% (15–11, n=26)no settled market55% (392–321, n=713)61% (48–31, n=79)
Consensus PnL$645K$0$426K$659K
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #722PM monthly #103PM monthly #16 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position44% (30 of 68 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%—69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)—14% (won 37% of 79)4% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)—24% (won 59% of 138)34% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)—43% (won 72% of 243)44% (won 100% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)—19% (won 98% of 107)18% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788haveanedge.xyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
——Team Falcons $995Team Falcons $211K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $243Gen.G $44K