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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Ndjdnrru33nigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)no settled market55% (433–356, n=789)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$795K$0$365K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #783PM monthly #137was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)58% (105 of 182 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%—71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)—13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)—24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)—43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)—20% (won 98% of 119)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Ndjdnrru33nigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $8.3K——Gen.G $390K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $92K—Gen.G $544—