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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (16–14, n=30) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (403–333, n=736) |
| Consensus PnL | $586K | $318K | $2.4K | $412K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 57% (103 of 182 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $53 | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $4.9K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $77K | — | — | Gen.G $3.1K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $30K | — | — | Gen.G $1.1K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $250K | — | Bilibili Gaming $9.7K | — |