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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | roldy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 36% (4–7, n=11) | 42% (5–7, n=12) |
| Consensus PnL | $421K | $261K | $165K | $3.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 | was PM monthly #630 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 68% (75 of 110 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 70% (7 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | roldy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Senators opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $1.3K | — | Avalanche $3.1K |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Kraken | — | Kraken $862 | — | Hurricanes $912 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Golden Knights $14K | — | Golden Knights $2.8K |
| Penguins vs. Sharks same side · consensus Penguins | — | Sharks $2.0K | — | Sharks $1.7K |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $1.3K | — | Flyers $667 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Under $103 |