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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| esticamos | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (144–122, n=266) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $3.3M | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #149 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 61% (217 of 353 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −1 pts, n=130 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 239 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 18% of 45) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 52% of 21) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 59% of 34) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 89% of 139) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | esticamos | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev | Ignacio Buse $90 | Daniil Medvedev $5.5K | — | — |