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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | Hauchn | Imbleciar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 17% (156–789, n=945) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $536K | $117K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (322 of 439 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | Finance −1 pts, n=121 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2% | 79% of 28 at avg 68¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 89% (won 2% of 108) | 11% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 6% (won 43% of 7) | 14% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 88% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 5% (won 100% of 6) | 46% (won 100% of 13) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.