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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dsoperativeFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)78% (203–56, n=259)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$36K$3.3M$4.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #798PM monthly #16PM monthly #139PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)64% (163 of 254 open)73% (33 of 45 open)78% (14 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −2 pts, n=10Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won85% of 256 at avg 68¢, ROI +25%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 36% of 22)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 74% of 27)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 85% of 72)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 95% of 135)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdsoperativeFlaznorpndb1primm
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $333—Eastern Michigan $2.0K