← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dips. | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (292–141, n=433) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$54K | $430K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #605 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (44 of 66 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 66% (113 of 172 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −5 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 146 at avg 63¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 16% of 32) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 56% of 16) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 17) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 81) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dips. | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Bulls $630 | — | Spurs $11K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $92 | — | Bucks $984 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $71 | — | Spurs $228 | — |
| Valparaiso Beacons vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 142.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3 | — | Under $30 | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $5.4K | — | Lakers $13K | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) same side · consensus Flyers | Flyers $15 | — | Flyers $2.6K | — |