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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dcastro222 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $3.6M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (224 of 298 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) | 58% (72 of 124 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dcastro222 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.0K | — | No $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | — | Over $1.4K |
| Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.3K | — | Yes $878 |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $5.0K | — | Yes $96 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.7K | — | No $877 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | Yes $318 |
| Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.2K | — | No $4 |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $43 |
| Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $982 | — | Over $28 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $529 |
| Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $847 | — | Under $1 |
| Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $661 | — | Yes $163 |
| US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $48 | — | Over $727 |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $510 | — | Under $157 |
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $211 | — | No $436 |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu opposite sides · consensus Malaika Rapolu | — | Malaika Rapolu $94 | — | Sofia Johnson $521 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta | — | Facundo Acosta $558 | — | Marco Cecchinato $9 |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $430 | — | No $78 |
| Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $357 | — | No $68 |
| Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $353 | — | Yes $5 |
| FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $144 | — | Under $5 |
| Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $62 | — | Over $82 |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $97 | — | Over $13 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $31 | — | No $12 |
| Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $11 | — | No $15 |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $19 | — | No $4 |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $16K | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | — | No $13K |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $7.2K | — | Over $7.8K |
| Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | — | No $9.4K |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Everton FC | — | Everton FC $7.2K | — | Everton FC $2.2K |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.8K | — | Under $161 |
| Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.5K | — | No $2.0K |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | — | No $3.0K |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $177 | — | No $3.0K |
| Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $928 | — | Over $1.6K |
| FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.9K | — | Under $2 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $219 |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $167 | — | Over $1.5K |