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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
chinamaxFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (60–88, n=148)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL-$133K$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #983PM monthly #10PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (122 of 170 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +16 pts n=36, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won62% of 106 at avg 52¢, ROI −1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 0% of 7)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 41% of 32)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 80% of 56)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 73% of 11)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.