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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
buoysFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)48% (706–764, n=1470)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$93K$3.7M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975PM monthly #13PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus69% (46 of 67 open)68% (239 of 353 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicScience −10 pts, n=16Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won47% of 1664 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 12% of 686)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 48% of 269)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 68% of 308)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 91% of 401)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.