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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (120–125, n=245)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$15K$9.4M$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #1PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)61% (17 of 28 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=60, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won100% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 60)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 49)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankndb1
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $1.4KCeltics $8.6K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $983Pistons $195K—